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Preparing for True Black Swans

September 18, 2017
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A Black Swan is an event that comes as a surprise and has a major impact.  Investors will often inappropriately refer to the bear markets of 2000-2002 and 2008 as Black Swan events.  However, bear markets do not come as a surprise, everyone knows they happen and […]

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Active vs. Passive-A New Way to Look at the Debate

September 5, 2017
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The active vs. passive debate continues to rage across Wall Street.  The passive guys believe that active money managers can’t beat a passive index so the fees they charge aren’t worth it.  The active guys believe they can beat a passive index, even though they really […]

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A New Way to Look at Sector Rotation

September 5, 2017
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Sector rotation has been a staple of tactical asset allocation from the beginning.  Typically, sectors are ranked by momentum over some lookback period (3 months, 6 months, 12 months, etc) and then the top couple are picked and held for a month and then the process is repeated […]

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How Tactical Strategies Can Make Money in a Bear Market

September 5, 2017
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These days just about everyone seems to be predicting a major market selloff.  We know that bear markets are part of normal market dynamics and since the bull market is now 8 years old we have to be closer to the end than the beginning.   Tactical strategies have […]

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